Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 15th District

Glenn Thompson wins. Called.

82% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Glenn Thompson R won 171,017 63.9%
Ray Bilger D 96,545 36.1%
Total267,562

200 of 200 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Centre 56,737 D +13.6 D +2.9 D +10.8 86%
Clearfield 26,951 R +42.6 R +51.9 D +9.3 81%
Armstrong 23,900 R +40.2 R +53.6 D +13.4 80%
Lycoming 15,850 R +46.1 R +53.3 D +7.2 87%
Jefferson 15,094 R +50.0 R +59.0 D +9.0 80%
Tioga 14,727 R +45.1 R +52.3 D +7.2 83%
Union 14,198 R +10.7 R +23.6 D +12.9 83%
Warren 13,763 R +31.0 R +39.6 D +8.6 81%
Snyder 13,487 R +37.7 R +47.4 D +9.6 82%
Clarion 12,893 R +43.7 R +53.4 D +9.8 79%
Clinton 12,614 R +29.0 R +41.2 D +12.2 85%
McKean 12,424 R +37.7 R +47.6 D +9.9 80%
Elk 11,666 R +37.9 R +47.3 D +9.4 81%
Venango 10,987 R +35.7 R +42.9 D +7.1 81%
Potter 6,194 R +56.5 R +62.8 D +6.3 82%
Indiana 2,593 R +57.8 R +67.3 D +9.5 80%
Forest 1,868 R +36.1 R +44.9 D +8.8 79%
Cameron 1,616 R +46.0 R +50.9 D +4.9 80%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+43 votes267,562R +27.8
+36 votes267,519R +27.8
+22 votes267,483R +27.8
+3 votes267,461R +27.9
+101 votes267,458R +27.9
+1,081 votes267,357R +27.9
+11,446 votes266,276R +27.9
+891 votes254,830R +27.2
+725 votes253,939R +26.9
+4,420 votes253,214R +27.1
+2,346 votes248,794R +26.9
+287 votes246,448R +26.8