Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 12th District

Summer Lee wins. Called.

79% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Summer Lee D won 193,488 65.4%
James Hayes R 102,413 34.6%
Total295,901

786 of 863 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Allegheny 247,787 D +39.7 D +28.6 D +11.1 78%
Westmoreland 48,114 R +14.9 R +27.4 D +12.5 82%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+5,646 votes295,901D +30.8
+4,833 votes290,255D +30.9
+14,077 votes285,422D +32.0
+1,212 votes271,345D +34.4
+1,546 votes270,133D +34.2
+9,694 votes268,587D +34.2
+11,926 votes258,893D +36.6
+9,912 votes246,967D +37.3
+20,291 votes237,055D +38.3
+32,411 votes216,764D +38.6
+2,868 votes184,353D +39.9
+29,755 votes181,485D +41.0