Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 11th District

Lloyd Smucker wins. Called.

90% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Lloyd Smucker R won 167,322 55.6%
Nancy Mannion D 133,833 44.4%
Total301,155

23 of 328 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lancaster 214,875 R +6.4 R +16.1 D +9.8 90%
York 86,280 R +23.0 R +34.3 D +11.4 92%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+524 votes301,155R +11.1
+101 votes300,631R +11.0
+1,899 votes300,530R +11.1
+2,182 votes298,631R +11.0
+5,932 votes296,449R +11.0
+22,975 votes290,517R +10.7
Lloyd Smucker wins——
+28,989 votes267,542R +8.6
+38,906 votes238,553R +4.8
+41,952 votes199,647Even
+19,815 votes157,695D +4.1
+44,720 votes137,880D +9.4