Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 10th District

Janelle Stelson wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

93% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Janelle Stelson D won 173,845 55.0%
Scott Perry R 142,059 45.0%
Total315,904

293 of 351 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Dauphin 114,162 D +20.3 D +6.0 D +14.3 94%
Cumberland 108,760 D +8.3 R +7.0 D +15.3 96%
York 92,982 R +0.4 R +17.0 D +16.6 90%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+140 votes315,904D +10.1
+3,619 votes315,764D +10.0
+6,172 votes312,145D +10.4
+40,223 votes305,973D +11.1
Janelle Stelson wins——
+22,700 votes265,750D +13.0
+19,521 votes243,050D +16.0
+24,794 votes223,529D +17.4
+21,494 votes198,735D +16.8
+25,629 votes177,241D +18.5
+49,145 votes151,612D +22.9
+6,253 votes102,467D +15.7