Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 4th District

Madeleine Dean wins. Called.

90% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Madeleine Dean D won 231,425 67.1%
Aurora Stuski R 113,464 32.9%
Total344,889

70 of 386 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Montgomery 291,109 D +40.6 D +23.1 D +17.6 90%
Berks 53,780 R +0.6 R +19.8 D +19.2 93%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+272 votes344,889D +34.2
+24,197 votes344,617D +34.2
+22,362 votes320,420D +33.5
+15,421 votes298,058D +32.8
+23,316 votes282,637D +32.5
+21,917 votes259,321D +34.5
+278 votes237,404D +34.8
+18,887 votes237,126D +34.8
+28,613 votes218,239D +36.1
+26,856 votes189,626D +37.4
+3,693 votes162,770D +37.9
+16,358 votes159,077D +38.7