Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 1st District

Bob Harvie wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

90% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Bob Harvie D won 188,087 52.7%
Brian Fitzpatrick R 168,531 47.3%
Total356,618

0 of 55 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Bucks 301,704 D +5.3 R +0.1 D +5.4 90%
Montgomery 54,914 D +6.3 D +2.5 D +3.8 90%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+137 votes356,618D +5.5
+69 votes356,481D +5.5
+3,084 votes356,412D +5.5
+3,818 votes353,328D +5.4
Bob Harvie wins——
+2,878 votes349,510D +5.4
+4,142 votes346,632D +5.2
+9,002 votes342,490D +5.1
+16,375 votes333,488D +5.6
+1,696 votes317,113D +5.6
+27,853 votes315,417D +5.7
+13,916 votes287,564D +6.3