Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Pennsylvania · U.S. House

Pennsylvania 8th District

Paige Cognetti wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

91% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Paige Cognetti D won 152,616 54.4%
Robert Bresnahan R 128,135 45.6%
Total280,751

33 of 211 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Luzerne 93,663 D +3.0 R +14.7 D +17.7 88%
Lackawanna 86,158 D +20.9 D +2.8 D +18.1 91%
Monroe 55,169 D +20.1 D +2.8 D +17.3 95%
Pike 24,187 R +9.4 R +24.2 D +14.9 91%
Wayne 21,574 R +23.9 R +37.4 D +13.5 89%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+87 votes280,751D +8.7
+8,887 votes280,664D +8.7
+3,201 votes271,777D +9.6
+1,852 votes268,576D +10.1
+1,410 votes266,724D +10.2
+7,800 votes265,314D +10.3
+1,201 votes257,514D +11.7
+8,465 votes256,313D +11.9
+3,188 votes247,848D +12.6
+1,018 votes244,660D +12.3
+2,500 votes243,642D +12.5
+7,805 votes241,142D +12.9