Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท California

Madera County, California

2026 election results. Steve Hilton (R) has 52% of the vote for governor in Madera County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 17.9 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Madera County is split between 3 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Madera County

Governor

Steve Hilton
51.7%24,600
Xavier Becerra
48.3%22,979
100% counted

Statewide: Xavier Becerra wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 5th District

Tom McClintock
56.7%20,547
Michael Masuda
43.3%15,696
100% counted

Only part of Madera County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Tom McClintock wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 13th District

Adam Gray
67.2%7,002
Kevin Lincoln
32.8%3,421
92% counted

Only part of Madera County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Adam Gray wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 22nd District

David Valadao
58.1%168
Randy Villegas
41.9%121
100% counted

Only part of Madera County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Randy Villegas wins. Called.

The leader in Madera County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 12, 5:25 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
CA GovernorR +3.4R +21.3D +17.9
CA-05 part of the countyR +13.4R +27.3D +14.0
CA-13 part of the countyD +34.4R +3.3D +37.6
CA-22 part of the countyR +16.3R +32.4D +16.2

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Madera County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris38.4%Donald Trump59.2%R +20.954,605
2020Joe Biden43.1%Donald Trump54.7%R +11.653,842
2016Hillary Clinton39.5%Donald Trump54.2%R +14.743,112
2012Barack Obama40.2%Mitt Romney57.3%R +17.139,866
2008Barack Obama42.4%John McCain55.7%R +13.342,355
2004John Kerry34.8%George W. Bush64.1%R +29.438,780
2000Al Gore34.9%George W. Bush60.7%R +25.933,395

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +5.0.

Other counties in California

California results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until California certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. California's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.