Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท California

Merced County, California

2026 election results. Xavier Becerra (D) has 59% of the vote for governor in Merced County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 22.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Merced County

Governor

Xavier Becerra
58.8%42,718
Steve Hilton
41.2%29,969
100% counted

Statewide: Xavier Becerra wins. Called.

The leader in Merced County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 13, 3:40 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
CA GovernorD +17.5R +4.5D +22.0
CA-13D +16.4R +4.5D +20.9

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Merced County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris46.8%Donald Trump50.6%R +3.885,102
2020Joe Biden54.1%Donald Trump43.5%D +10.690,573
2016Hillary Clinton52.7%Donald Trump40.6%D +12.170,789
2012Barack Obama53.2%Mitt Romney44.4%D +8.762,057
2008Barack Obama53.3%John McCain45.0%D +8.363,808
2004John Kerry42.3%George W. Bush56.6%R +14.357,945
2000Al Gore45.1%George W. Bush51.8%R +6.750,418

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +2.8.

Other counties in California

California results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until California certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. California's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.