Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท California

Stanislaus County, California

2026 election results. Xavier Becerra (D) has 53% of the vote for governor in Stanislaus County, with about 100% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 17.8 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Stanislaus County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Stanislaus County

Governor

Xavier Becerra
53.3%82,466
Steve Hilton
46.7%72,278
100% counted

Statewide: Xavier Becerra wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 5th District

Tom McClintock
52.3%49,435
Michael Masuda
47.7%45,076
100% counted

Only part of Stanislaus County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Tom McClintock wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 13th District

Adam Gray
61.8%35,614
Kevin Lincoln
38.2%21,996
93% counted

Only part of Stanislaus County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Adam Gray wins. Called.

The leader in Stanislaus County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 12, 7:36 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
CA GovernorD +6.6R +11.3D +17.8
CA-05 part of the countyR +4.6R +17.1D +12.5
CA-13 part of the countyD +23.6R +0.4D +24.1

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Stanislaus County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris43.2%Donald Trump54.2%R +11.0197,542
2020Joe Biden49.3%Donald Trump48.5%D +0.8214,829
2016Hillary Clinton47.4%Donald Trump45.6%D +1.8172,146
2012Barack Obama50.0%Mitt Romney47.3%D +2.7155,369
2008Barack Obama49.9%John McCain48.1%D +1.7161,015
2004John Kerry40.4%George W. Bush58.7%R +18.3145,514
2000Al Gore44.0%George W. Bush52.4%R +8.4128,267

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +2.6.

Other counties in California

California results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until California certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. California's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.