Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States · California

San Mateo County, California

2026 election results. Xavier Becerra (D) has 76% of the vote for governor in San Mateo County, with about 94% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 0.7 points more Republican than the 2024 presidential vote here. San Mateo County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in San Mateo County

Governor

Xavier Becerra
75.7%210,205
Steve Hilton
24.3%67,524
94% counted

Statewide: Xavier Becerra wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 15th District

Kevin Mullin
79.8%171,992
Charles Hoelter
20.2%43,648
92% counted

Only part of San Mateo County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Kevin Mullin wins. Called.

U.S. House: California 16th District

Sam Liccardo
79.5%45,073
Peter Soulé
20.5%11,631
100% counted

Only part of San Mateo County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Sam Liccardo wins. Called.

The leader in San Mateo County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 13, 5:25 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
CA GovernorD +51.4D +52.1R +0.7
CA-15 part of the countyD +59.5D +50.9D +8.6
CA-16 part of the countyD +59.0D +56.4D +2.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How San Mateo County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris73.5%Donald Trump23.2%D +50.3330,698
2020Joe Biden77.9%Donald Trump20.2%D +57.7374,209
2016Hillary Clinton75.7%Donald Trump18.4%D +57.2314,384
2012Barack Obama72.1%Mitt Romney25.5%D +46.7285,720
2008Barack Obama73.5%John McCain24.7%D +48.7303,292
2004John Kerry69.7%George W. Bush29.3%D +40.3284,077
2000Al Gore64.3%George W. Bush31.0%D +33.3259,399

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +17.0.

Other counties in California

California results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until California certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. California's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.