Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Virginia · U.S. House

Virginia 11th District

James Walkinshaw wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
James Walkinshaw D won 247,201 74.3%
Arthur Purves R 81,357 24.5%
Dianne Blais G 4,078 1.2%
Total332,636

181 of 181 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Fairfax 321,588 D +50.5 D +35.3 D +15.2 97%
Fairfax City 11,048 D +48.8 D +34.3 D +14.5 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+15,595 votes332,636D +50.5
+18,076 votes317,041D +49.7
+15,667 votes298,965D +49.5
+50,366 votes283,298D +57.6
+1,124 votes232,932D +48.3
+39,101 votes231,808D +48.2
+862 votes192,707D +45.7
+25,137 votes191,845D +45.7
+48,535 votes166,708D +44.9
+1,246 votes118,173D +44.7
+1,219 votes116,927D +44.4
+84,409 votes115,708D +44.3