Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Virginia · U.S. House

Virginia 4th District

Jennifer McClellan wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jennifer McClellan D won 223,073 72.2%
Robert Murray R 81,051 26.2%
Joan Bell I 4,882 1.6%
Total309,006

250 of 250 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Richmond City 91,030 D +76.2 D +67.8 D +8.4 97%
Chesterfield 81,237 D +32.0 D +15.5 D +16.5 97%
Henrico 64,158 D +59.6 D +46.6 D +13.0 97%
Prince George 13,068 R +9.2 R +21.5 D +12.3 97%
Dinwiddie 11,379 R +8.9 R +23.3 D +14.4 97%
Petersburg City 9,978 D +80.8 D +73.7 D +7.1 97%
Hopewell City 6,574 D +30.6 D +13.9 D +16.7 97%
Colonial Heights City 6,418 R +16.6 R +32.7 D +16.1 97%
Brunswick 5,977 D +17.2 D +8.6 D +8.6 97%
Sussex 3,721 D +12.0 D +4.5 D +7.5 97%
Southampton 3,555 R +6.9 R +15.0 D +8.1 97%
Surry 3,543 D +9.5 R +0.7 D +10.2 97%
Charles City 3,342 D +19.0 D +10.9 D +8.1 97%
Greensville 3,285 D +18.2 D +9.3 D +8.9 97%
Emporia City 1,741 D +39.1 D +31.2 D +7.9 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+55 votes309,006D +46.7
+24 votes308,951D +46.7
+27,283 votes308,927D +46.7
+964 votes281,644D +43.3
+6,436 votes280,680D +43.1
+1,009 votes274,244D +42.1
+1,712 votes273,235D +42.1
+1,437 votes271,523D +41.8
+549 votes270,086D +41.6
+584 votes269,537D +41.5
+1,430 votes268,953D +41.4
+537 votes267,523D +41.2