Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Virginia · U.S. House

Virginia 7th District

Eugene Vindman wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Eugene Vindman D won 191,361 59.8%
Doug Ollivant R 121,014 37.8%
Alaha Ahrar I 3,020 0.9%
Taner Lopez L 2,632 0.8%
Randall Terry I 1,197 0.4%
Joshua Ertle I 785 0.2%
Total320,009

192 of 192 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Prince William 99,539 D +56.2 D +31.5 D +24.7 97%
Stafford 66,377 D +19.2 D +0.8 D +18.4 97%
Spotsylvania 61,958 D +10.1 R +8.7 D +18.8 97%
Culpeper 22,310 R +10.4 R +25.2 D +14.8 97%
Orange 17,360 R +10.5 R +24.9 D +14.4 97%
Caroline 13,537 D +6.5 R +8.9 D +15.4 97%
King George 11,839 R +11.5 R +25.4 D +13.9 97%
Fredericksburg City 10,662 D +47.4 D +32.3 D +15.1 97%
Greene 9,836 R +11.5 R +25.0 D +13.6 97%
Madison 6,563 R +25.8 R +35.5 D +9.7 97%
Albemarle 28 R +35.7 — — 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1 votes320,009D +22.5
+29 votes320,008D +22.5
+4 votes319,979D +22.5
+1 votes319,975D +22.5
+4 votes319,974D +22.5
+6 votes319,970D +22.5
+10 votes319,964D +22.5
+1 votes319,954D +22.5
+727 votes319,953D +22.5
+5,992 votes319,226D +22.4
+6,063 votes313,234D +21.9
+22,260 votes307,171D +21.2