Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Michigan · U.S. House

Michigan 10th District

Christina Hines wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Christina Hines D won 188,078 52.4%
Michael Bouchard R 162,347 45.3%
Andrea Kirby WC 3,978 1.1%
Mike Saliba L 3,088 0.9%
Kwabena Nkromo G 1,174 0.3%
Total358,665

213 of 215 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Macomb 311,749 D +7.7 R +7.6 D +15.3 96%
Oakland 46,916 D +5.2 R +0.2 D +5.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Christina Hines wins——
+16,024 votes358,665D +7.3
+42,548 votes342,641D +6.2
+3,707 votes300,093D +5.9
+9,045 votes296,386D +5.6
+12,295 votes287,341D +5.8
+5,961 votes275,046D +4.6
+19,602 votes269,085D +3.6
+3 votes249,483D +2.7
+11,040 votes249,480D +2.7
+3,534 votes238,440D +3.5
+42,014 votes234,906D +3.1