Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Michigan · U.S. House

Michigan 8th District

Kristen McDonald Rivet wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Kristen McDonald Rivet D won 195,849 55.5%
Thomas Smith R 147,851 41.9%
Kathy Goodwin WC 5,169 1.5%
Mia Pettus L 2,850 0.8%
Jim Casha G 1,044 0.3%
Total352,763

240 of 240 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Genesee 179,875 D +20.1 D +4.3 D +15.8 96%
Saginaw 85,359 D +12.1 R +3.3 D +15.4 100%
Bay 49,498 D +4.8 R +14.9 D +19.7 100%
Midland 37,431 D +1.7 R +12.1 D +13.8 95%
Tuscola 600 R +21.4 R +33.2 D +11.7 85%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+505 votes352,763D +14.0
+296 votes352,258D +13.9
+600 votes351,962D +13.9
+13,231 votes351,362D +14.0
+2,377 votes338,131D +12.9
+42,000 votes335,754D +12.8
+8,972 votes293,754D +9.1
Kristen McDonald Rivet wins——
+1,313 votes284,782D +8.1
+2,908 votes283,469D +8.1
+36,131 votes280,561D +8.4
+6,296 votes244,430D +7.7