Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Michigan · U.S. House

Michigan 1st District

Jack Bergman wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jack Bergman R won 216,990 53.8%
Callie Barr D 178,381 44.2%
Arnett Satterla L 2,757 0.7%
Liz Hakola WC 2,383 0.6%
Doc Kovaly UST 1,229 0.3%
Zebulon Featherly I 922 0.2%
LaVeta Davenport G 778 0.2%
Total403,440

59 of 164 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Grand Traverse 54,155 D +11.7 R +1.8 D +13.5 95%
Marquette 33,650 D +22.9 D +8.9 D +14.0 100%
Emmet 19,595 R +1.1 R +10.9 D +9.8 100%
Delta 16,871 R +19.9 R +30.8 D +10.9 89%
Houghton 16,420 R +4.6 R +17.3 D +12.7 97%
Leelanau 15,951 D +16.1 D +7.9 D +8.3 95%
Charlevoix 14,962 R +7.2 R +17.2 D +10.0 100%
Chippewa 14,690 R +12.9 R +24.7 D +11.8 93%
Antrim 14,390 R +14.3 R +24.1 D +9.8 94%
Alpena 13,826 R +17.6 R +29.0 D +11.4 91%
Cheboygan 13,566 R +20.0 R +31.6 D +11.6 93%
Roscommon 13,258 R +23.7 R +33.3 D +9.7 94%
Otsego 12,939 R +24.5 R +35.8 D +11.4 100%
Iosco 12,695 R +21.4 R +31.0 D +9.7 92%
Dickinson 11,853 R +24.0 R +36.9 D +12.8 90%
Benzie 11,058 D +3.0 R +8.8 D +11.8 95%
Menominee 10,223 R +26.3 R +34.0 D +7.7 100%
Ogemaw 10,200 R +34.2 R +42.6 D +8.3 94%
Kalkaska 9,223 R +30.9 R +43.5 D +12.6 100%
Missaukee 7,384 R +48.2 R +56.8 D +8.6 91%
Arenac 7,258 R +32.5 R +41.1 D +8.7 93%
Presque Isle 7,256 R +18.3 R +29.4 D +11.1 91%
Crawford 6,943 R +18.9 R +34.2 D +15.3 99%
Gogebic 6,573 R +4.8 R +17.3 D +12.6 100%
Alcona 6,254 R +36.4 R +42.1 D +5.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+39,273 votes403,440R +9.8
+8,122 votes364,167R +8.6
+14,390 votes356,045R +8.9
+30,855 votes341,655R +8.7
+3,179 votes310,800R +10.4
+7,256 votes307,621R +10.3
+21 votes300,365R +10.1
+782 votes300,344R +10.1
+3,046 votes299,562R +10.0
+2,033 votes296,516R +9.8
+2,019 votes294,483R +9.9
+1,437 votes292,464R +10.0