Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Michigan · U.S. House

Michigan 5th District

Tim Walberg wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tim Walberg R won 198,729 59.1%
Christian Vukasovich D 129,797 38.6%
Ronald Muszynski L 3,457 1.0%
Sharon Renier UST 3,115 0.9%
Jim Bronke G 1,227 0.4%
Total336,325

197 of 242 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Monroe 72,079 R +22.3 R +28.0 D +5.7 97%
Jackson 67,621 R +16.2 R +21.6 D +5.5 100%
Lenawee 44,076 R +14.2 R +23.4 D +9.2 100%
Berrien 42,739 R +10.8 R +16.5 D +5.7 100%
St. Joseph 23,325 R +27.2 R +34.5 D +7.3 98%
Cass 21,726 R +27.4 R +34.3 D +6.9 98%
Calhoun 21,111 R +21.0 R +26.0 D +5.0 100%
Hillsdale 17,992 R +47.4 R +52.1 D +4.7 100%
Branch 16,730 R +35.6 R +43.1 D +7.4 95%
Kalamazoo 8,926 R +17.5 R +20.9 D +3.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+45,965 votes336,325R +21.0
+678 votes290,360R +22.0
+1,928 votes289,682R +22.1
+5,398 votes287,754R +22.0
+56 votes282,356R +22.1
+2,846 votes282,300R +22.1
+533 votes279,454R +22.4
+2,303 votes278,921R +22.4
+7,025 votes276,618R +22.3
+2,681 votes269,593R +22.5
+2,455 votes266,912R +22.6
+489 votes264,457R +23.2