Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Michigan · U.S. House

Michigan 7th District

William Lawrence wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
William Lawrence D won 202,657 51.0%
Tom Barrett R 189,482 47.7%
Shane Dedrick G 4,974 1.3%
Total397,113

51 of 132 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Ingham 130,589 D +37.8 D +30.3 D +7.5 100%
Livingston 112,222 R +22.9 R +24.3 D +1.4 100%
Eaton 53,026 D +2.1 R +1.5 D +3.5 95%
Clinton 43,106 R +6.3 R +8.7 D +2.5 96%
Shiawassee 32,809 R +18.4 R +23.4 D +5.0 93%
Oakland 25,272 R +10.2 R +12.5 D +2.2 100%
Genesee 89 R +43.2 — — 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
William Lawrence wins——
+18,327 votes397,113D +3.4
+5,971 votes378,786D +3.0
+2,563 votes372,815D +1.9
+89 votes370,252D +2.0
+1,393 votes370,163D +2.0
+17,230 votes368,770D +1.7
+25,913 votes351,540R +0.9
+909 votes325,627R +4.9
+1,831 votes324,718R +4.9
+7,974 votes322,887R +4.8
+5,992 votes314,913R +4.8