Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท New Jersey

Warren County, New Jersey

2026 election results. Justin Murphy (R) has 49% of the U.S. Senate vote in Warren County, with about 99% of the expected vote counted. The margin is 19.9 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Warren County

U.S. Senate

Justin Murphy
49.1%20,357
Cory Booker
48.0%19,898
Veronica Fernandez
1.9%785
Joanne Kuniansky
1.1%438
99% counted

Statewide: Cory Booker wins. Called.

U.S. House: New Jersey 7th District

Rebecca Bennett
49.2%20,633
Thomas Kean
48.7%20,422
Seamus O'Toole
2.2%909
100% counted

Whole district: Rebecca Bennett wins. Called.

The leader in Warren County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 12, 2:58 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
NJ SenateR +1.1R +21.1D +19.9
NJ-07D +0.5R +21.1D +21.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Warren County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris38.8%Donald Trump59.4%R +20.660,320
2020Joe Biden41.0%Donald Trump57.2%R +16.260,774
2016Hillary Clinton35.1%Donald Trump60.6%R +25.549,236
2012Barack Obama41.4%Mitt Romney56.9%R +15.545,270
2008Barack Obama42.7%John McCain56.9%R +14.248,323
2004John Kerry37.4%George W. Bush61.3%R +23.948,208
2000Al Gore40.5%George W. Bush54.3%R +13.840,801

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +6.8.

Other counties in New Jersey

New Jersey results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until New Jersey certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. New Jersey's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.