Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Jersey · U.S. House

New Jersey 7th District

Rebecca Bennett wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Rebecca Bennett D won 186,475 57.1%
Thomas Kean R 135,056 41.4%
Seamus O'Toole UNA 4,999 1.5%
Total326,530

407 of 408 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Union 82,606 D +34.2 D +19.8 D +14.4 100%
Somerset 67,534 D +19.7 D +4.0 D +15.8 100%
Hunterdon 61,737 D +9.3 R +6.8 D +16.1 100%
Morris 49,259 D +10.2 R +7.5 D +17.7 99%
Warren 40,634 R +0.3 R +21.1 D +20.8 99%
Sussex 24,760 R +0.1 R +20.6 D +20.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+72 votes326,530D +16.0
+9,546 votes326,458D +16.0
+14,678 votes316,912D +16.7
+7,271 votes302,234D +17.6
+16,519 votes294,963D +18.2
+18,479 votes278,444D +20.1
+1,980 votes259,965D +21.3
+5,641 votes257,985D +21.6
+10,773 votes252,344D +22.5
Rebecca Bennett wins——
+5,241 votes241,571D +22.3
+3,476 votes236,330D +23.3