Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Virginia

Stafford County, Virginia

2026 election results. Mark Warner (D) got 61% of the U.S. Senate vote in Stafford County. The margin is 20.3 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Below are also 1 local contests from the state's own results.

2026 results in Stafford County

U.S. Senate

Mark Warner
60.5%41,039
Bert Mizusawa
39.5%26,758
97% counted

Statewide: Mark Warner wins. Called.

U.S. House: Virginia 7th District

Eugene Vindman
58.6%39,744
Doug Ollivant
39.2%26,565
Taner Lopez
0.9%580
Alaha Ahrar
0.7%461

2 more candidates on the race page.

97% counted

Whole district: Eugene Vindman wins. Called.

The leader in Stafford County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 11, 8:19 PM.

1 local contest in Stafford County

Local measures on Stafford County's ballots, from Virginia's official results file. Names are as the state prints them. "Ahead" describes the current count; it isn't a race call, and we don't call measures.

Local measures

Local Sales Tax for Schools

ChoiceVotesShare
No33,93250.2%
Yes33,64349.8%

No ahead with 50.2% in Stafford County.

Virginia's official results, file posted Nov 13, 5:56 PM. Unofficial until certified.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
VA SenateD +21.1D +0.8D +20.3
VA-07D +19.9D +0.8D +19.1

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Stafford County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris49.4%Donald Trump48.6%D +0.883,490
2020Joe Biden50.5%Donald Trump47.3%D +3.379,629
2016Hillary Clinton42.3%Donald Trump51.4%R +9.065,934
2012Barack Obama44.9%Mitt Romney53.6%R +8.760,583
2008Barack Obama46.4%John McCain52.7%R +6.355,455
2004John Kerry37.4%George W. Bush62.0%R +24.645,986
2000Al Gore36.8%George W. Bush60.5%R +23.834,246

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +24.5.

Other counties and cities in Virginia

Virginia results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Virginia certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Virginia's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.