Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Virginia

Caroline County, Virginia

2026 election results. Mark Warner (D) got 55% of the U.S. Senate vote in Caroline County. The margin is 18.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Below are also 2 local contests from the state's own results.

2026 results in Caroline County

U.S. Senate

Mark Warner
54.6%7,496
Bert Mizusawa
45.4%6,223
97% counted

Statewide: Mark Warner wins. Called.

U.S. House: Virginia 7th District

Eugene Vindman
52.5%7,187
Doug Ollivant
45.8%6,266
Taner Lopez
0.6%86
Randall Terry
0.5%63

2 more candidates on the race page.

97% counted

Whole district: Eugene Vindman wins. Called.

The leader in Caroline County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 11, 8:19 PM.

2 local contests in Caroline County

City and town races on Caroline County's ballots, from Virginia's official results file. Names are as the state prints them. "Ahead" describes the current count; it isn't a race call, and we don't call measures.

Cities & towns

Member Town Council (Town of Bowling Green) 3 seats

CandidateVotesShare
Randal S. Hageman30537.3%
Daniel C. Webb26632.5%
Philip K. Edwards IV21726.5%
Write-In303.7%

Randal S. Hageman, Daniel C. Webb and Philip K. Edwards IV are unopposed. Bowling Green's page.

Member Town Council (Town of Port Royal) 5 seats

CandidateVotesShare
Angela F. Golden4223.0%
Nathanael E. Ulfers3720.2%
Robert B. Giles Sr.3519.1%
Monica G. Chenault3418.6%
Alexander Long IV3116.9%
Write-In42.2%

Angela F. Golden, Nathanael E. Ulfers, Robert B. Giles Sr., Monica G. Chenault and Alexander Long IV are unopposed. Port Royal's page.

Virginia's official results, file posted Nov 13, 5:56 PM. Unofficial until certified.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
VA SenateD +9.3R +8.9D +18.2
VA-07D +6.8R +8.9D +15.8

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Caroline County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris45.0%Donald Trump53.7%R +8.817,688
2020Joe Biden47.0%Donald Trump51.2%R +4.216,299
2016Hillary Clinton43.3%Donald Trump48.1%R +4.814,863
2012Barack Obama53.3%Mitt Romney45.1%D +8.213,652
2008Barack Obama55.4%John McCain43.5%D +12.012,919
2004John Kerry49.0%George W. Bush50.2%R +1.29,954
2000Al Gore51.7%George W. Bush46.4%D +5.38,351

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +14.1.

Other counties and cities in Virginia

Virginia results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Virginia certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Virginia's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.