Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Virginia

Nelson County, Virginia

2026 election results. Mark Warner (D) got 54% of the U.S. Senate vote in Nelson County. The margin is 15.1 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Below are also 1 local contests from the state's own results.

2026 results in Nelson County

U.S. Senate

Mark Warner
53.8%4,177
Bert Mizusawa
46.2%3,592
97% counted

Statewide: Mark Warner wins. Called.

U.S. House: Virginia 5th District

Tom Perriello
52.0%4,051
John McGuire III
46.0%3,588
Cooke Harvey
2.0%153
97% counted

Whole district: not called; John McGuire III leads.

The leader in Nelson County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 11, 8:19 PM.

1 local contest in Nelson County

Local measures on Nelson County's ballots, from Virginia's official results file. Names are as the state prints them. "Ahead" describes the current count; it isn't a race call, and we don't call measures.

Local measures

Sales Tax

ChoiceVotesShare
No3,94051.0%
Yes3,79249.0%

No ahead with 51.0% in Nelson County.

Virginia's official results, file posted Nov 13, 5:56 PM. Unofficial until certified.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
VA SenateD +7.5R +7.6D +15.1
VA-05D +6.1R +7.6D +13.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Nelson County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris45.6%Donald Trump53.1%R +7.59,424
2020Joe Biden46.4%Donald Trump51.7%R +5.29,314
2016Hillary Clinton44.3%Donald Trump49.9%R +5.68,318
2012Barack Obama50.6%Mitt Romney47.8%D +2.78,250
2008Barack Obama54.0%John McCain44.8%D +9.18,133
2004John Kerry49.6%George W. Bush49.6%D +0.17,139
2000Al Gore47.3%George W. Bush47.4%R +0.16,145

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +7.4.

Other counties and cities in Virginia

Virginia results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Virginia certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Virginia's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.