District 1
Wesley Bell won
81.5%189,175
Paul Berry
13.9%32,308
Tom Schmitz
4.6%10,613
Missouri
All races decided, 1 changed party. The state's House vote has moved D +17.9 since 2024. D +19.2 since 2022.
How the count runs here
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 18 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
Stats
Missouri counties vs. 2024
How far has each county moved since the 2024 president?
Democrat aheadRepublican aheadNo changeThe patternFar from the pattern
Blue squares are good for Democrats and red for Republicans. The darker squares are counties voting differently for House than for president. Above the black line, a county moved toward Democrats.
113 moved toward Democrats, 0 toward Republicans. The middle shift is D +14.3.
4 far from the pattern
- Crawford: 24 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
- Callaway: 19 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
- Scotland: 15 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
- St. Louis: 13 points toward Republicans of the pattern, 100% counted
Being far from the pattern is a reason to look, not a finding. Usual causes are a popular or weak candidate, an unopposed race last time, or a batch of ballots still to come.
Missouri counties vs. 2022
How far has each county moved since the 2022 House vote?
Democrat aheadRepublican aheadNo changeThe patternFar from the pattern
Blue squares are good for Democrats and red for Republicans. The darker squares are counties that changed sides. Above the black line, a county moved toward Democrats.
113 moved toward Democrats, 0 toward Republicans. The middle shift is D +17.0.
3 far from the pattern
- Crawford: 22 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
- Callaway: 19 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
- Scotland: 18 points toward Democrats of the pattern, 100% counted
Being far from the pattern is a reason to look, not a finding. Usual causes are a popular or weak candidate, an unopposed race last time, or a batch of ballots still to come.
How Missouri's counties moved
Did the state move together, or are some counties far from the rest?
Toward DemocratsToward RepublicansMiddle
Right of Even, in blue, moved toward Democrats, which is good for them. Left of it, in red, moved toward Republicans. Bars far from the main hump stand apart from the rest.
3 far from the pattern
- Crawford: D +37.6 since 2024, 23 points from the middle
- Callaway: D +34.0 since 2024, 20 points from the middle
- Scotland: D +28.1 since 2024, 14 points from the middle
Being far from the pattern is a reason to look, not a finding. Usual causes are a popular or weak candidate, an unopposed race last time, or a batch of ballots still to come.
Every Missouri contest vs. 2024
How far has each race on the ballot moved since 2024?
Democrat aheadRepublican aheadNo changeThe pattern
Blue squares are good for Democrats and red squares for Republicans; the darker squares changed sides. Above the black line a race moved toward Democrats, even if it's still in a red square. Below it, toward Republicans.
8 moved toward Democrats, 0 toward Republicans. The middle shift is D +18.3.
Every Missouri contest vs. 2022
How far has each race on the ballot moved since 2022?
Democrat aheadRepublican aheadNo changeThe pattern
Blue squares are good for Democrats and red squares for Republicans; the darker squares changed sides. Above the black line a race moved toward Democrats, even if it's still in a red square. Below it, toward Republicans.
8 moved toward Democrats, 0 toward Republicans. The middle shift is D +18.5.
Each race against past elections
| Race | Since 2024 | Since 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| District 1 | D +9.8 | D +20.9 |
| District 2 | D +17.4 | D +17.2 |
| District 3 | D +19.0 | D +22.3 |
| District 4 | D +19.1 | D +19.4 |
| District 5 | D +17.8 | D +17.1 |
| District 6 | D +24.6 | D +23.6 |
| District 7 | D +18.8 | D +17.7 |
| District 8 | D +15.6 | D +15.4 |
Congress
District 2
Fred Wellman won
51.1%169,477
Ann Wagner
46.2%153,132
Brandon Daugherty
2.7%8,782
District 3
Bob Onder won
52.5%155,109
Bethany Mann
44.8%132,279
Jim Higgins
2.7%8,015
District 4
Mark Alford won
61.5%154,236
Jordan Herrera
35.6%89,182
Thomas Holbrook
2.9%7,289
District 5
Emanuel Cleaver won
69.5%179,256
Rick Brattin
28.1%72,572
Randy Langkraehr
2.4%6,128
District 6
Chris Stigall won
58.7%151,360
Josh Smead
39.0%100,450
Andy Maidment
2.3%6,036
District 7
Eric Burlison won
62.2%157,599
Missi Hesketh
35.4%89,710
Kevin Craig
2.4%6,100
District 8
Jason Smith won
67.8%154,445
Chris Reichard
29.2%66,443
Rebecca Lombard
3.1%7,038
Counties
| County | Votes | Counted |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | 387,665 | 100% |
| Jackson | 241,148 | 100% |
| St. Charles | 164,075 | 100% |
| Greene | 104,552 | 100% |
| Clay | 96,290 | 100% |
| St. Louis | 84,424 | 100% |
| Jefferson | 77,017 | 100% |
| Boone | 65,359 | 100% |
| Platte | 44,373 | 100% |
| Cass | 41,548 | 100% |
| Franklin | 38,651 | 100% |
| Christian | 34,609 | 100% |
| Jasper | 32,030 | 100% |
| Cole | 28,251 | 100% |
| Cape Girardeau | 27,483 | 100% |
| Buchanan | 24,187 | 100% |
| Lincoln | 19,922 | 100% |
| Callaway | 19,780 | 100% |
| Newton | 18,500 | 100% |
| Taney | 17,536 | 100% |
| Camden | 17,020 | 100% |
| St. Francois | 16,452 | 100% |
| Johnson | 15,907 | 100% |
| Crawford | 14,037 | 100% |
| Warren | 13,476 | 100% |
| Stone | 13,114 | 100% |
| Webster | 12,962 | 100% |
| Phelps | 12,720 | 100% |
| Pettis | 11,829 | 100% |
| Lafayette | 11,631 | 100% |
| Lawrence | 11,665 | 100% |
| Howell | 11,020 | 100% |
| Laclede | 10,690 | 100% |
| Polk | 10,765 | 100% |
| Barry | 10,422 | 100% |
| Butler | 10,179 | 100% |
| Scott | 10,038 | 100% |
| Pulaski | 9,165 | 100% |
| Marion | 8,066 | 100% |
| Ray | 7,760 | 100% |
| Stoddard | 7,615 | 100% |
| Miller | 7,627 | 100% |
| Clinton | 7,539 | 100% |
| Texas | 7,416 | 100% |
| Henry | 7,211 | 100% |
| Benton | 7,019 | 100% |
| Randolph | 6,803 | 100% |
| Andrew | 6,602 | 100% |
| Nodaway | 6,598 | 100% |
| Adair | 6,485 | 100% |
| Audrain | 6,269 | 100% |
| Morgan | 6,250 | 100% |
| Ste. Genevieve | 6,036 | 100% |
| Saline | 5,908 | 100% |
| Washington | 5,874 | 100% |
| McDonald | 5,830 | 100% |
| Cooper | 5,759 | 100% |
| Wright | 5,702 | 100% |
| Perry | 5,677 | 100% |
| Ripley | 5,677 | 100% |
| Vernon | 5,385 | 100% |
| Bates | 5,324 | 100% |
| Dunklin | 5,109 | 100% |
| Dallas | 5,167 | 100% |
| Gasconade | 5,104 | 100% |
| Osage | 5,034 | 100% |
| Macon | 4,887 | 100% |
| Pike | 4,725 | 100% |
| Douglas | 4,762 | 100% |
| Dent | 4,619 | 100% |
| Cedar | 4,461 | 100% |
| Moniteau | 4,479 | 100% |
| Livingston | 4,290 | 100% |
| Ralls | 3,936 | 100% |
| Barton | 3,736 | 100% |
| Montgomery | 3,716 | 100% |
| New Madrid | 3,662 | 100% |
| Linn | 3,543 | 100% |
| Bollinger | 3,520 | 100% |
| Wayne | 3,417 | 100% |
| Hickory | 3,427 | 100% |
| Howard | 3,354 | 100% |
| Madison | 3,309 | 100% |
| St. Clair | 3,298 | 100% |
| Maries | 3,093 | 100% |
| Ozark | 3,066 | 100% |
| Caldwell | 3,051 | 100% |
| DeKalb | 3,051 | 100% |
| Mississippi | 3,046 | 100% |
| Carroll | 2,898 | 100% |
| Pemiscot | 2,852 | 100% |
| Oregon | 2,853 | 100% |
| Grundy | 2,852 | 100% |
| Lewis | 2,707 | 100% |
| Dade | 2,719 | 100% |
| Monroe | 2,649 | 100% |
| Chariton | 2,527 | 100% |
| Iron | 2,543 | 100% |
| Shannon | 2,473 | 100% |
| Daviess | 2,445 | 100% |
| Harrison | 2,417 | 100% |
| Gentry | 2,076 | 100% |
| Shelby | 1,991 | 100% |
| Clark | 1,884 | 100% |
| Carter | 1,857 | 100% |
| Reynolds | 1,811 | 100% |
| Sullivan | 1,575 | 100% |
| Atchison | 1,572 | 100% |
| Holt | 1,493 | 100% |
| Putnam | 1,363 | 100% |
| Scotland | 1,268 | 100% |
| Schuyler | 1,176 | 100% |
| Mercer | 1,111 | 100% |
| Knox | 1,084 | 100% |
| Worth | 752 | 100% |