Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Missouri · U.S. House

Missouri 2nd District

Fred Wellman wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Fred Wellman D won 169,477 51.1%
Ann Wagner R 153,132 46.2%
Brandon Daugherty L 8,782 2.7%
Total331,391

595 of 595 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
St. Louis 239,993 D +14.7 D +4.4 D +10.3 100%
St. Charles 43,480 R +9.8 R +25.3 D +15.4 100%
Franklin 38,651 R +29.5 R +46.4 D +16.9 100%
Warren 9,267 R +34.0 R +51.9 D +17.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+117,083 votes331,391D +5.1
Fred Wellman wins——
+10,788 votes214,308D +7.2
+9,231 votes203,520D +8.5
+6,354 votes194,289D +10.5
+20,604 votes187,935D +11.8
+3,154 votes167,331D +15.6
+2,690 votes164,177D +16.7
+414 votes161,487D +17.8
+3,852 votes161,073D +17.9
+1,470 votes157,221D +19.3
+5,828 votes155,751D +19.9