Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Missouri · U.S. House

Missouri 1st District

Wesley Bell wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Wesley Bell D won 189,175 81.5%
Paul Berry R 32,308 13.9%
Tom Schmitz L 10,613 4.6%
Total232,096

656 of 656 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
St. Louis 147,672 D +66.8 D +53.6 D +13.2 100%
St. Louis City 84,424 D +78.1 D +66.0 D +12.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+20,759 votes232,096D +70.8
+266 votes211,337D +71.2
+50,004 votes211,071D +71.4
+20,665 votes161,067D +70.7
+8,438 votes140,402D +71.0
+16,501 votes131,964D +71.9
+13,748 votes115,463D +74.6
+34,420 votes101,715D +77.2
+67,295 votes67,295D +73.7
Wesley Bell wins——