Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Missouri · U.S. House

Missouri 7th District

Eric Burlison wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Eric Burlison R won 157,599 62.2%
Missi Hesketh D 89,710 35.4%
Kevin Craig L 6,100 2.4%
Total253,409

287 of 287 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Greene 104,552 R +4.5 R +21.1 D +16.7 100%
Christian 34,609 R +38.9 R +52.8 D +13.9 100%
Jasper 32,030 R +30.5 R +47.4 D +16.9 100%
Newton 18,500 R +46.3 R +59.2 D +12.9 100%
Taney 17,536 R +49.0 R +59.9 D +10.9 100%
Stone 13,114 R +55.6 R +61.9 D +6.3 100%
Lawrence 11,665 R +51.0 R +64.4 D +13.4 100%
Barry 10,422 R +50.2 R +64.1 D +14.0 100%
McDonald 5,830 R +56.3 R +69.3 D +13.0 100%
Webster 5,151 R +54.0 R +64.8 D +10.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,698 votes253,409R +27.5
+18,448 votes250,711R +27.2
+661 votes232,263R +28.2
+28,555 votes231,602R +28.1
+5,151 votes203,047R +31.9
+5,830 votes197,896R +31.3
+32,030 votes192,066R +30.6
+3,752 votes160,036R +30.6
+15,243 votes156,284R +33.8
+10,350 votes141,041R +35.9
+11,665 votes130,691R +30.8
+3,737 votes119,026R +28.9