Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Missouri · U.S. House

Missouri 8th District

Jason Smith wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jason Smith R won 154,445 67.8%
Chris Reichard D 66,443 29.2%
Rebecca Lombard L 7,038 3.1%
Total227,926

385 of 385 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Jefferson 53,012 R +14.4 R +34.8 D +20.4 100%
Cape Girardeau 27,483 R +36.8 R +47.0 D +10.3 100%
St. Francois 16,452 R +30.4 R +51.9 D +21.6 100%
Phelps 12,720 R +27.0 R +43.5 D +16.4 100%
Howell 11,020 R +56.6 R +67.3 D +10.7 100%
Butler 10,179 R +52.6 R +64.3 D +11.7 100%
Scott 10,038 R +45.6 R +59.3 D +13.7 100%
Stoddard 7,615 R +61.0 R +74.3 D +13.4 100%
Texas 7,416 R +61.9 R +72.2 D +10.3 100%
Ste. Genevieve 6,036 R +29.9 R +45.6 D +15.7 100%
Wright 5,702 R +71.4 R +76.3 D +4.8 100%
Perry check source 5,677 R +53.5 R +63.9 — 100%
Ripley check source 5,677 R +53.5 R +73.6 — 100%
Dunklin 5,109 R +45.3 R +62.2 D +16.9 100%
Douglas 4,762 R +66.9 R +72.5 D +5.6 100%
Dent 4,619 R +58.1 R +70.9 D +12.8 100%
New Madrid 3,662 R +43.9 R +53.9 D +10.0 100%
Bollinger 3,520 R +67.9 R +75.2 D +7.3 100%
Wayne 3,417 R +65.5 R +73.1 D +7.5 100%
Madison 3,309 R +50.5 R +65.5 D +15.0 100%
Ozark 3,066 R +62.9 R +70.6 D +7.6 100%
Mississippi 3,046 R +50.7 R +54.0 D +3.3 100%
Oregon 2,853 R +59.1 R +69.6 D +10.4 100%
Pemiscot 2,852 R +35.4 R +49.3 D +13.9 100%
Iron 2,543 R +46.6 R +63.1 D +16.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,502 votes227,926R +39.8
+2,978 votes225,424R +39.8
+3,519 votes222,446R +39.5
+2,914 votes218,927R +39.7
+1,328 votes216,013R +39.6
+18,072 votes214,685R +39.4
+9,692 votes196,613R +40.0
+15,126 votes186,921R +39.2
+16,452 votes171,795R +41.2
+12,720 votes155,343R +42.4
+4,762 votes142,623R +43.7
+5,677 votes137,861R +42.9