Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Missouri · U.S. House

Missouri 3rd District

Bob Onder wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Bob Onder R won 155,109 52.5%
Bethany Mann D 132,279 44.8%
Jim Higgins L 8,015 2.7%
Total295,403

339 of 339 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
St. Charles 120,595 D +1.9 R +14.3 D +16.1 100%
Boone 39,226 D +31.8 D +14.7 D +17.1 100%
Cole 28,251 R +18.8 R +34.9 D +16.1 100%
Jefferson 24,005 R +19.7 R +43.3 D +23.7 100%
Callaway 19,780 R +9.9 R +43.9 D +34.0 100%
Crawford 14,037 R +25.1 R +62.6 D +37.6 100%
Miller 7,627 R +54.2 R +67.9 D +13.8 100%
Washington 5,874 R +45.8 R +65.7 D +19.9 100%
Cooper 5,759 R +30.3 R +46.3 D +15.9 100%
Gasconade 5,104 R +49.5 R +60.8 D +11.3 100%
Osage 5,034 R +60.5 R +73.6 D +13.1 100%
Camden 4,614 R +37.6 R +46.5 D +8.9 100%
Moniteau 4,479 R +49.3 R +63.5 D +14.2 100%
Warren 4,209 R +29.1 R +46.8 D +17.7 100%
Montgomery 3,716 R +46.7 R +60.6 D +14.0 100%
Maries 3,093 R +59.3 R +68.2 D +8.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+20 votes295,403R +7.9
+3,093 votes295,383R +7.9
+5,104 votes292,290R +7.4
+14,096 votes287,186R +6.6
+12,603 votes273,090R +8.7
+7,450 votes260,487R +9.9
Bob Onder wins——
+5,874 votes253,037R +10.0
+4,479 votes247,163R +9.2
+6,587 votes242,684R +8.5
+7,627 votes236,097R +7.4
+31,047 votes228,470R +5.8