Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Ohio · U.S. House

Ohio 14th District

David Joyce wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
David Joyce R won 179,467 55.0%
Maria Jukic D 146,651 45.0%
Total326,118

262 of 474 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lake 104,562 R +4.9 R +14.5 D +9.6 100%
Trumbull 73,587 R +3.5 R +16.9 D +13.4 100%
Portage 46,409 R +15.7 R +28.3 D +12.6 100%
Geauga 45,130 R +19.4 R +24.3 D +4.9 100%
Ashtabula 32,808 R +17.7 R +28.6 D +11.0 100%
Mahoning 23,622 R +13.8 R +23.7 D +9.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+16 votes326,118R +10.1
+16,172 votes326,102R +10.1
+6,736 votes309,930R +9.1
David Joyce wins——
+444 votes303,194R +9.1
+28,697 votes302,750R +9.1
+3,620 votes274,053R +8.8
+17,758 votes270,433R +8.7
+35,155 votes252,675R +7.1
+18,869 votes217,520R +3.4
+84,352 votes198,651R +2.3
+6,073 votes114,299R +1.9