Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Ohio · U.S. House

Ohio 9th District

Marcy Kaptur wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Marcy Kaptur D won 159,306 52.7%
Derek Merrin R 142,830 47.3%
Total302,136

62 of 595 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lucas 151,980 D +28.9 D +12.7 D +16.2 97%
Erie 31,799 D +2.9 R +14.3 D +17.2 100%
Ottawa 19,154 R +10.2 R +25.3 D +15.1 100%
Wood 18,950 D +12.8 R +3.6 D +16.5 100%
Fulton 17,294 R +26.4 R +42.7 D +16.3 100%
Putnam 15,261 R +60.1 R +69.4 D +9.3 100%
Defiance 14,390 R +24.1 R +40.2 D +16.2 100%
Williams 13,387 R +34.5 R +48.7 D +14.2 100%
Henry 11,074 R +31.2 R +47.2 D +16.0 100%
Paulding 8,847 R +40.6 R +56.8 D +16.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,046 votes302,136D +5.5
Marcy Kaptur wins——
+91,221 votes299,090D +5.3
+57,713 votes207,869D +0.5
+1,596 votes150,156R +18.3
+3,291 votes148,560R +18.6
+3,357 votes145,269R +19.1
+708 votes141,912R +19.6
+6,354 votes141,204R +19.4
+40,257 votes134,850R +18.7
+5,154 votes94,593R +15.3
+8,580 votes89,439R +14.0