Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Ohio · U.S. House

Ohio 10th District

Kristina Knickerbocker wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Kristina Knickerbocker D won 149,024 49.3%
Michael Turner R 144,086 47.7%
Thomas McMasters L 8,906 2.9%
Total302,016

532 of 814 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Montgomery 202,359 D +9.7 D +0.5 D +9.2 100%
Greene 74,193 R +12.5 R +20.0 D +7.6 100%
Butler 25,464 R +21.0 R +37.8 D +16.8 84%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Kristina Knickerbocker wins——
+13 votes302,016D +1.7
+1,341 votes302,003D +1.7
+2,849 votes300,662D +1.8
+9,276 votes297,813D +2.0
+35,336 votes288,537D +2.1
+20,675 votes253,201D +2.8
+9,073 votes232,526D +4.6
+27,815 votes223,453D +5.9
+8,293 votes195,638D +7.5
+13 votes187,345D +9.3
+7,065 votes187,332D +9.3