Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Ohio · U.S. House

Ohio 12th District

Troy Balderson wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Troy Balderson R won 191,926 59.4%
Jerrad Christian D 131,211 40.6%
Total323,137

0 of 39 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Delaware 79,035 D +2.3 R +4.2 D +6.5 100%
Licking 73,807 R +17.7 R +30.3 D +12.5 100%
Fairfield 67,389 R +11.3 R +24.3 D +12.9 96%
Muskingum 28,894 R +37.3 R +44.3 D +7.0 100%
Knox 24,022 R +36.2 R +45.3 D +9.1 100%
Guernsey 12,682 R +41.4 R +52.4 D +11.1 100%
Coshocton 11,745 R +41.8 R +52.6 D +10.8 100%
Perry 9,199 R +39.5 R +53.5 D +14.0 100%
Holmes 7,258 R +57.9 R +66.7 D +8.8 100%
Monroe 4,677 R +41.5 R +60.3 D +18.8 100%
Noble 4,429 R +53.6 R +65.1 D +11.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,908 votes323,137R +18.8
+14,828 votes320,229R +18.9
+9,695 votes305,401R +19.6
+7,091 votes295,706R +20.1
+5,399 votes288,615R +20.5
+5,667 votes283,216R +19.9
+372 votes277,549R +19.5
+22,098 votes277,177R +19.5
+22,134 votes255,079R +20.2
+2,996 votes232,945R +20.2
+6,454 votes229,949R +19.8
+12,137 votes223,495R +18.5