Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Ohio · U.S. House

Ohio 4th District

Jim Jordan wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jim Jordan R won 197,085 64.5%
Joshua Kolasinski D 95,497 31.3%
Tracey Tackett I 13,005 4.3%
Total305,587

128 of 680 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Clark 39,351 R +23.4 R +26.1 D +2.8 100%
Delaware 37,019 R +1.5 R +11.6 D +10.1 96%
Allen 35,235 R +36.0 R +44.5 D +8.5 100%
Union 30,961 R +17.9 R +29.9 D +12.0 100%
Marion 19,975 R +29.5 R +41.7 D +12.3 100%
Richland 19,773 R +28.3 R +37.0 D +8.7 100%
Auglaize 19,246 R +60.4 R +65.1 D +4.7 87%
Shelby 18,983 R +59.5 R +65.3 D +5.8 100%
Mercer 18,001 R +63.0 R +67.2 D +4.2 100%
Logan 17,831 R +49.1 R +56.7 D +7.6 100%
Champaign 15,545 R +45.0 R +51.2 D +6.3 100%
Morrow 14,059 R +47.4 R +56.2 D +8.7 100%
Van Wert 10,510 R +49.3 R +58.9 D +9.6 99%
Hardin 9,098 R +46.6 R +55.2 D +8.6 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+6,838 votes305,587R +34.7
+1 votes298,749R +34.7
+5,167 votes298,748R +34.7
+7,603 votes293,581R +34.7
+6,451 votes285,978R +34.3
+5,024 votes279,527R +33.8
+780 votes274,503R +34.2
+20,007 votes273,723R +34.1
+1,960 votes253,716R +31.7
+8,455 votes251,756R +31.4
+10,649 votes243,301R +31.1
+1,244 votes232,652R +31.6