Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

North Carolina · U.S. House

North Carolina 11th District

Jamie Ager wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

94% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jamie Ager D won 195,637 57.1%
Jennifer Balkcom R 141,427 41.3%
Travis Groo L 5,345 1.6%
Total342,409

298 of 298 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Buncombe 131,055 D +48.9 D +25.1 D +23.7 98%
Henderson 56,921 D +6.7 R +14.7 D +21.4 98%
Haywood 28,200 D +2.8 R +25.4 D +28.2 93%
McDowell 16,342 R +25.4 R +49.5 D +24.1 89%
Transylvania 16,232 D +11.2 R +12.3 D +23.5 88%
Macon 16,185 R +16.4 R +38.4 D +22.0 90%
Jackson 16,057 D +19.8 R +9.5 D +29.4 98%
Cherokee 12,276 R +40.3 R +58.0 D +17.7 88%
Madison 10,479 D +9.6 R +23.8 D +33.5 91%
Yancey 8,316 R +2.7 R +34.8 D +32.1 81%
Avery 6,652 R +35.5 R +52.8 D +17.3 86%
Mitchell 6,238 R +31.6 R +56.3 D +24.6 84%
Clay 5,712 R +31.8 R +50.4 D +18.6 91%
Swain 5,104 D +3.6 R +24.0 D +27.6 93%
Graham 3,678 R +41.6 R +64.5 D +22.9 88%
Polk 2,962 R +17.9 R +41.1 D +23.2 91%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,510 votes342,409D +16.1
+1,511 votes337,899D +15.4
+237 votes336,388D +15.4
+305 votes336,151D +15.4
+12,734 votes335,846D +15.4
+3,735 votes323,112D +17.6
+5,569 votes319,377D +18.0
+1,344 votes313,808D +18.7
+17,395 votes312,464D +18.9
+1,763 votes295,069D +19.0
+1,053 votes293,306D +19.5
+948 votes292,253D +19.6