Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Missouri

Vernon County, Missouri

2026 election results. Mark Alford (R) got 71% of the Missouri 4th District vote in Vernon County. The margin is 14.4 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Vernon County

U.S. House: Missouri 4th District

Mark Alford
70.7%3,808
Jordan Herrera
26.4%1,421
Thomas Holbrook
2.9%156
100% counted

Whole district: Mark Alford wins. Called.

The leader in Vernon County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 5, 9:59 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
MO-04R +45.6R +60.1D +14.4

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Vernon County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris19.8%Donald Trump79.3%R +59.58,973
2020Joe Biden20.7%Donald Trump77.9%R +57.29,185
2016Hillary Clinton19.9%Donald Trump76.0%R +56.18,599
2012Barack Obama30.3%Mitt Romney67.6%R +37.38,521
2008Barack Obama38.1%John McCain60.1%R +22.08,878
2004John Kerry35.7%George W. Bush63.7%R +28.18,992
2000Al Gore37.5%George W. Bush59.3%R +21.88,408

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +37.7.

Other counties in Missouri

Missouri results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Missouri certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Missouri's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.