Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Missouri

Bates County, Missouri

2026 election results. Mark Alford (R) got 71% of the Missouri 4th District vote in Bates County. The margin is 15.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Bates County

U.S. House: Missouri 4th District

Mark Alford
70.9%3,773
Jordan Herrera
25.8%1,375
Thomas Holbrook
3.3%176
100% counted

Whole district: Mark Alford wins. Called.

The leader in Bates County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 7:39 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
MO-04R +46.6R +62.2D +15.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Bates County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris18.7%Donald Trump80.3%R +61.68,344
2020Joe Biden19.9%Donald Trump78.4%R +58.58,417
2016Hillary Clinton20.2%Donald Trump74.8%R +54.68,023
2012Barack Obama32.9%Mitt Romney64.6%R +31.77,771
2008Barack Obama39.5%John McCain58.3%R +18.98,283
2004John Kerry40.1%George W. Bush59.1%R +19.08,466
2000Al Gore43.5%George W. Bush54.5%R +11.07,792

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +50.6.

Other counties in Missouri

Missouri results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Missouri certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Missouri's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.