Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Missouri

Saline County, Missouri

2026 election results. Mark Alford (R) got 59% of the Missouri 4th District vote in Saline County. The margin is 20.5 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Saline County

U.S. House: Missouri 4th District

Mark Alford
58.6%3,464
Jordan Herrera
38.8%2,291
Thomas Holbrook
2.6%153
100% counted

Whole district: Mark Alford wins. Called.

The leader in Saline County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 8:25 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
MO-04R +20.4R +40.9D +20.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Saline County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris29.2%Donald Trump69.6%R +40.49,330
2020Joe Biden30.5%Donald Trump67.8%R +37.39,519
2016Hillary Clinton30.1%Donald Trump64.4%R +34.49,274
2012Barack Obama41.6%Mitt Romney56.0%R +14.49,108
2008Barack Obama47.8%John McCain50.4%R +2.59,848
2004John Kerry45.1%George W. Bush54.2%R +9.29,939
2000Al Gore49.0%George W. Bush48.9%D +0.19,355

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +40.6.

Other counties in Missouri

Missouri results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Missouri certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Missouri's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.