Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

New Jersey

All races decided, 2 changed party. The state's House vote has moved D +18.8 since 2024. D +16.2 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 10 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +21.8—
District 1D +22.5D +12.9
District 2D +19.7D +21.8
District 3D +19.1D +15.9
District 4D +17.9D +18.0
District 5D +17.1D +18.2
District 6D +21.9D +21.5
District 7D +21.5D +18.8
District 9D +30.4D +23.9
District 10D +14.9D +9.9
District 11D +7.2D +3.3
District 12D +17.4D +15.2

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Cory Booker won
62.3%1,804,046
Justin Murphy
35.2%1,018,881
Veronica Fernandez
1.6%47,651
94% counted

Congress

District 1

Donald Norcross won
70.4%180,228
Damon Galdo
29.6%75,927
96% counted

District 2

Zack Mullock won
50.8%136,898
Jeff Van Drew
48.2%129,771
Ramon Mora
1.0%2,824
98% counted

District 3

Herbert Conaway won
62.7%172,448
Michael McGuire
35.4%97,377
Ryan Kelly
1.3%3,658
94% counted

District 4

Chris Smith won
59.1%156,223
Rachel Peace
40.9%108,206
87% counted

District 5

Josh Gottheimer won
62.4%167,806
Sean Kirrane
34.6%93,020
Adam Rueda
2.9%7,896
99% counted

District 6

Frank Pallone won
69.1%144,087
Hillary Herzig
30.9%64,422
89% counted

District 7

Rebecca Bennett won
57.1%186,475
Thomas Kean
41.4%135,056
Seamus O'Toole
1.5%4,999
99% counted

District 8

Rob Menendez won
88.6%108,347
Craig Honts
4.3%5,204
Aristotle Eliopoulos
4.2%5,186
57% counted

District 9

Nellie Pou won
66.7%123,133
Rosie Pino
31.8%58,682
Terrisa Bukovinac
1.5%2,704
92% counted

District 10

LaMonica McIver won
84.5%148,968
Carmen Bucco
15.5%27,415
89% counted

District 11

Analilia Mejia won
60.6%167,572
Joe Hathaway
38.5%106,622
Alan Bond
0.9%2,479
96% counted

District 12

Adam Hamawy won
70.3%162,413
Gregg Mele
28.2%65,169
Winston Jordan
0.8%1,808
96% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Bergen306,52398%D +28.5D +18.2
Middlesex235,51293%D +29.4D +18.9
Monmouth232,98490%D +17.7D +18.3
Ocean214,81586%D +12.8D +17.2
Essex210,24671%D +12.6—
Morris194,93294%D +13.7D +8.3
Camden168,71497%D +21.2D +11.7
Burlington166,15095%D +17.3D +15.7
Union166,70576%D +17.9—
Passaic129,59593%D +34.8D +22.8
Somerset128,00897%D +17.9D +20.3
Gloucester112,19796%D +21.8D +15.2
Mercer112,79296%D +17.0D +14.2
Atlantic92,277100%D +15.6D +23.8
Hunterdon61,737100%D +16.1D +17.7
Sussex55,36394%D +23.5D +23.6
Warren40,63499%D +20.8D +22.9
Cape May39,853100%D +9.8D +19.3
Hudson132,094100%D +28.9—
Cumberland37,822100%D +17.4D +26.5
Salem21,055100%D +15.5D +20.8