Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Jersey · U.S. House

New Jersey 10th District

LaMonica McIver wins. Called.

89% counted
CandidateVotesShare
LaMonica McIver D won 148,968 84.5%
Carmen Bucco R 27,415 15.5%
Total176,383

531 of 546 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Essex 93,396 D +78.5 D +66.3 D +12.2 87%
Union 58,067 D +50.9 D +28.4 D +22.5 99%
Hudson 24,920 D +75.1 D +51.4 D +23.7 77%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,673 votes176,383D +68.9
+819 votes174,710D +68.8
+2,292 votes173,891D +68.7
+2,222 votes171,599D +68.5
+954 votes169,377D +68.5
+1,429 votes168,423D +68.4
+3,132 votes166,994D +68.6
+3,314 votes163,862D +68.6
+5,342 votes160,548D +68.7
+12,842 votes155,206D +68.0
+5,165 votes142,364D +70.1
+4,318 votes137,199D +71.0