Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Jersey · U.S. House

New Jersey 2nd District

Zack Mullock wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Zack Mullock D won 136,898 50.8%
Jeff Van Drew R 129,771 48.2%
Ramon Mora I 2,824 1.0%
Total269,493

544 of 563 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Atlantic 92,277 D +12.5 R +3.2 D +15.6 100%
Ocean 45,655 R +16.2 R +30.8 D +14.6 91%
Cape May 39,853 R +10.0 R +19.7 D +9.8 100%
Cumberland 37,822 D +13.6 R +3.9 D +17.4 100%
Gloucester 32,831 D +8.6 R +11.3 D +19.9 99%
Salem 21,055 R +4.0 R +19.5 D +15.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+353 votes269,493D +2.7
+218 votes269,140D +2.7
+1,668 votes268,922D +2.6
Zack Mullock wins——
+16,249 votes267,254D +2.4
+3,403 votes251,005D +3.2
+2,096 votes247,602D +3.5
+27,633 votes245,506D +3.3
+5,442 votes217,873D +4.5
+180 votes212,431D +5.1
+8,251 votes212,251D +5.1
+7,834 votes204,000D +5.0