Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Jersey · U.S. House

New Jersey 11th District

Analilia Mejia wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Analilia Mejia D won 167,572 60.6%
Joe Hathaway R 106,622 38.5%
Alan Bond HFT 2,479 0.9%
Total276,673

586 of 590 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Morris 145,673 D +10.6 R +1.7 D +12.3 93%
Essex 104,660 D +42.9 D +29.9 D +13.0 100%
Passaic 26,340 D +4.3 R +17.5 D +21.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,802 votes276,673D +22.2
+1,338 votes271,871D +21.4
+607 votes270,533D +21.4
+7,562 votes269,926D +21.5
+5,482 votes262,364D +22.5
+2,262 votes256,882D +23.5
+7,561 votes254,620D +23.4
+18,321 votes247,059D +24.1
+815 votes228,738D +25.7
+15,541 votes227,923D +25.9
+6,728 votes212,382D +27.8
+20,123 votes205,654D +28.4