Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Iowa

All races decided, 5 changed party. The state's House vote has moved D +14.3 since 2024. D +14.0 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 14 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +17.7D +16.4
GovernorD +24.5D +30.0
District 1D +10.1D +16.7
District 2D +20.0D +12.4
District 3D +11.1D +8.0
District 4D +16.3D +19.6

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Josh Turek won
50.5%686,486
Ashley Hinson
46.4%630,615
Thomas Laehn
3.1%42,086
99% counted

Governor

Rob Sand won
55.5%758,199
Zach Lahn
44.5%607,415
99% counted

Congress

District 1

Christina Bohannan won
52.9%183,494
Mariannette Miller-Meeks
43.4%150,471
Michael Bridgford
3.6%12,603
99% counted

District 2

Lindsay James won
49.5%171,484
Joe Mitchell
45.6%157,722
Rick Stewart
2.7%9,500
99% counted

District 3

Sarah Garriott won
53.7%189,217
Zach Nunn
46.3%163,441
99% counted

District 4

Chris McGowan won
59.1%178,845
Dave Dawson
40.9%123,940
99% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Polk218,951100%D +10.4D +7.5
Linn105,770100%D +12.6D +12.1
Johnson74,765100%D +15.4D +11.0
Scott73,572100%D +17.4D +18.8
Dallas55,598100%D +10.5D +9.3
Black Hawk52,104100%D +16.3D +14.1
Dubuque43,295100%D +15.5D +14.3
Story41,229100%D +14.3D +14.7
Woodbury33,343100%D +15.3D +23.0
Pottawattamie33,228100%D +15.9D +20.7
Warren27,523100%D +16.6D +14.8
Cerro Gordo18,412100%D +13.3D +10.2
Clinton18,467100%D +20.3D +17.1
Jasper16,21394%D +15.6D +12.6
Marion15,908100%D +12.2D +13.8
Sioux14,974100%D +6.1D +15.9
Muscatine15,795100%D +22.1D +24.6
Marshall14,163100%D +17.0D +23.2
Des Moines14,767100%D +18.9D +18.1
Webster12,466100%D +16.9D +19.9
Boone12,071100%D +15.6D +17.6
Lee11,971100%D +21.8D +15.5
Benton11,728100%D +12.3D +9.7
Bremer11,740100%D +11.1D +8.2
Wapello11,005100%D +15.9D +8.0
Plymouth10,671100%D +9.8D +17.7
Winneshiek10,234100%D +10.7D +8.5
Dickinson9,332100%D +6.5D +12.1
Washington9,621100%D +14.0D +13.4
Jackson9,577100%D +33.0D +28.0
Carroll8,482100%D +10.0D +18.9
Cedar8,638100%D +18.4D +16.9
Jones8,607100%D +16.8D +13.2
Mahaska8,319100%D +14.2D +15.0
Buchanan8,495100%D +15.2D +9.9
Madison7,75990%D +10.5D +4.7
Poweshiek7,894100%D +13.5D +12.4
Iowa7,866100%D +15.3D +16.2
Delaware7,914100%D +11.0D +11.1
Henry7,531100%D +18.9D +18.8
Clayton7,293100%D +12.7D +9.2
Tama6,993100%D +14.2D +14.0
Jefferson6,864100%D +16.4D +10.5
Kossuth6,586100%D +9.1D +13.3
Fayette7,818100%D +13.6D +7.6
Clay6,458100%D +11.9D +19.0
Hardin6,530100%D +11.7D +10.4
Mills6,039100%D +12.6D +16.8
Butler6,273100%D +12.0D +8.5
Hamilton5,726100%D +15.1D +20.9
Floyd6,027100%D +14.7D +7.5
Buena Vista5,700100%D +17.5D +30.3
Harrison5,658100%D +14.1D +20.4
Grundy5,697100%D +8.9D +10.4
O'Brien5,429100%D +9.5D +16.9
Lyon5,294100%D +6.3D +14.5
Allamakee5,648100%D +10.5D +8.6
Cass5,261100%D +7.1D +3.9
Page5,211100%D +9.7D +5.5
Guthrie5,183100%D +6.1D +2.2
Crawford4,825100%D +19.2D +31.4
Appanoose4,774100%D +13.6D +5.8
Shelby4,739100%D +9.4D +18.4
Cherokee4,680100%D +15.1D +24.1
Union4,621100%D +12.6D +4.0
Hancock4,485100%D +8.7D +12.5
Chickasaw4,843100%D +14.0D +5.7
Winnebago4,352100%D +7.9D +15.1
Wright4,273100%D +12.6D +22.7
Mitchell4,404100%D +12.1D +10.3
Sac4,133100%D +11.7D +18.4
Palo Alto3,936100%D +10.9D +15.7
Humboldt3,734100%D +11.5D +18.6
Franklin3,728100%D +10.4D +18.6
Keokuk3,884100%D +19.9D +15.1
Louisa3,870100%D +21.1D +22.6
Montgomery3,687100%D +6.4D +0.9
Greene3,666100%D +9.3D +2.3
Calhoun3,659100%D +14.2D +19.6
Clarke3,477100%D +13.7D +6.5
Emmet3,466100%D +14.4D +18.9
Howard3,701100%D +12.1D +8.1
Lucas3,431100%D +10.9D +3.8
Monona3,341100%D +10.9D +14.9
Worth3,362100%D +13.9D +11.4
Adair3,121100%D +10.4D +2.7
Monroe3,046100%D +10.8D +4.8
Davis2,959100%D +12.7D +2.5
Decatur2,782100%D +11.4D +2.3
Ida2,709100%D +9.3D +18.2
Van Buren2,810100%D +16.2D +13.2
Pocahontas2,664100%D +13.4D +19.0
Fremont2,563100%D +16.4D +17.1
Osceola2,337100%D +8.0D +18.6
Audubon2,312100%D +12.9D +18.1
Wayne2,252100%D +14.1D +6.2
Taylor2,174100%D +9.5D +1.6
Ringgold2,091100%D +6.6R +4.3
Adams1,609100%D +11.1D +3.8