Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Iowa · U.S. House

Iowa 2nd District

Lindsay James wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Lindsay James D won 171,484 49.5%
Joe Mitchell R 157,722 45.6%
Rick Stewart L 9,500 2.7%
Dave Bushaw NPA 7,469 2.2%
Total346,175

34 of 34 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Linn 105,770 D +22.6 D +10.1 D +12.6 100%
Black Hawk 52,104 D +17.4 D +1.2 D +16.3 100%
Dubuque 43,295 D +6.8 R +8.7 D +15.5 100%
Cerro Gordo 18,412 D +1.5 R +11.8 D +13.3 100%
Bremer 11,740 R +11.4 R +22.5 D +11.1 100%
Benton 11,728 R +21.3 R +33.7 D +12.3 100%
Winneshiek 10,234 D +1.3 R +9.4 D +10.7 100%
Buchanan 8,495 R +13.4 R +28.6 D +15.3 100%
Delaware 7,914 R +29.2 R +40.2 D +11.0 100%
Poweshiek 7,894 R +3.7 R +17.2 D +13.5 100%
Fayette 7,818 R +17.4 R +31.0 D +13.5 100%
Clayton 7,293 R +22.2 R +34.9 D +12.7 100%
Tama 6,993 R +13.1 R +27.3 D +14.2 100%
Hardin 6,530 R +27.1 R +38.8 D +11.7 100%
Butler 6,273 R +33.9 R +45.9 D +12.0 100%
Floyd 6,027 R +11.3 R +26.1 D +14.7 100%
Grundy 5,697 R +33.6 R +42.5 D +8.9 100%
Allamakee 5,648 R +24.2 R +34.8 D +10.5 100%
Chickasaw 4,843 R +23.6 R +37.6 D +14.0 100%
Mitchell 4,404 R +19.5 R +31.6 D +12.1 100%
Howard 3,701 R +20.1 R +32.2 D +12.1 100%
Worth 3,362 R +14.7 R +28.6 D +13.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+7,818 votes346,175D +4.2
+6,530 votes338,357D +4.6
+3,362 votes331,827D +5.2
+5,697 votes328,465D +5.4
+1,578 votes322,768D +6.1
Lindsay James wins——
+4,404 votes321,190D +6.3
+8,902 votes316,786D +6.6
+3,701 votes307,884D +8.0
+6,993 votes304,183D +8.3
+6,027 votes297,190D +8.8
+37,470 votes291,163D +9.2