Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Minnesota · U.S. House

Minnesota 6th District

Tom Emmer wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tom Emmer R won 204,707 55.8%
Doug Chapin D 162,214 44.2%
Total366,921

276 of 276 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Anoka 117,892 R +6.5 R +15.0 D +8.5 100%
Wright 75,273 R +22.1 R +29.9 D +7.8 100%
Carver 61,303 R +2.5 R +5.5 D +3.0 100%
Sherburne 46,976 R +27.1 R +35.5 D +8.4 100%
Stearns 46,375 D +2.9 R +11.5 D +14.3 100%
Benton 18,558 R +28.2 R +36.6 D +8.4 100%
Hennepin 544 R +19.5 R +24.4 D +4.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1 votes366,921R +11.6
+1,928 votes366,920R +11.6
+1,250 votes364,992R +11.5
+1,353 votes363,742R +11.5
+1,904 votes362,389R +11.5
+46,768 votes360,485R +11.5
+2,455 votes313,717R +9.1
+1,895 votes311,262R +9.2
+1,904 votes309,367R +9.1
Tom Emmer wins——
+7,711 votes307,463R +9.2
+4,034 votes299,752R +8.7