Minnesota · U.S. House

Minnesota 4th District

Betty McCollum wins. Called.

99% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Betty McCollum D won	245,699	73.2%
Paul Wikstrom R	90,068	26.8%
Total	335,767

212 of 212 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Ramsey	246,000	D +55.0	D +44.3	D +10.8	100%
Washington	89,767	D +22.6	D +15.5	D +7.1	100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 4, 12:20 AM	+3,522 votes	335,767	D +46.4
Nov 4, 12:10 AM	+200 votes	332,245	D +46.6
Nov 3, 11:34 PM	+71 votes	332,045	D +46.6
Nov 3, 11:09 PM	+29,439 votes	331,974	D +46.6
Nov 3, 10:50 PM	+1,193 votes	302,535	D +45.1
Nov 3, 10:40 PM	+173,506 votes	301,342	D +45.1
Nov 3, 10:30 PM	+3,115 votes	127,836	D +31.8
Nov 3, 10:01 PM	+81,737 votes	124,721	D +32.1
Nov 3, 9:50 PM	+24,828 votes	42,984	D +50.3
Nov 3, 9:40 PM	+18,156 votes	18,156	D +40.4
Nov 3, 7:00 PM	Betty McCollum wins	—	—

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: McCollum +46.4
Votes left: About 0
Projected finish: McCollum +46.4
80% range: McCollum +46.0 to McCollum +46.7

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	26K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$31K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +46.4
2024 House	D +34.7
2022 House	D +35.4
2024 President, statewide	D +4.3
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +9.8
Published pre-election estimate	D +43.0

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