Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Minnesota · U.S. House

Minnesota 5th District

Ilhan Omar wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Ilhan Omar D won 263,166 76.7%
John Nagel R 55,805 16.3%
DeVelle Jackson I 24,215 7.1%
Total343,186

217 of 217 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Hennepin 316,876 D +67.1 D +66.1 D +1.1 100%
Anoka 24,616 D +37.8 D +32.5 D +5.4 100%
Ramsey 1,694 D +54.4 D +55.9 R +1.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,504 votes343,186D +65.0
+1,694 votes341,682D +64.9
+3,856 votes339,988D +65.0
+311,516 votes336,132D +65.3
+24,616 votes24,616D +37.8
Ilhan Omar wins——