Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Minnesota · U.S. House

Minnesota 2nd District

Matt Little wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Matt Little D won 214,255 57.2%
Eric Pratt R 160,636 42.8%
Total374,891

260 of 260 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Dakota 229,745 D +22.2 D +13.1 D +9.0 100%
Scott 79,294 R +2.6 R +8.7 D +6.0 100%
Washington 32,730 D +17.9 D +8.0 D +9.9 99%
Rice 18,858 D +15.7 D +9.6 D +6.0 100%
Le Sueur 14,264 R +28.3 R +34.2 D +5.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,409 votes374,891D +14.3
+1,749 votes373,482D +14.4
+3,137 votes371,733D +14.4
+1,108 votes368,596D +14.4
+81,618 votes367,488D +14.4
+25,520 votes285,870D +19.1
+2,455 votes260,350D +19.2
+3,094 votes257,895D +19.7
Matt Little wins——
+1,814 votes254,801D +20.1
+235,895 votes252,987D +20.3
+17,092 votes17,092D +18.2