Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Kentucky · U.S. Senate

Kentucky Senate

Andy Barr wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Andy Barr R won 784,181 55.0%
Charles Booker D 612,397 42.9%
Christopher Campbell UNA 29,957 2.1%
Total1,426,535

Last vote update Nov 5, 3:14 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Jefferson 264,859 D +32.3 D +16.8 D +15.5 100%
Fayette 113,267 D +32.1 D +18.5 D +13.6 100%
Kenton 55,114 R +2.4 R +22.2 D +19.8 100%
Boone 44,226 R +20.6 R +37.8 D +17.2 100%
Warren 37,836 R +3.6 R +24.7 D +21.1 100%
Campbell 34,922 R +2.0 R +20.0 D +18.0 100%
Hardin 33,140 R +12.9 R +29.8 D +16.9 100%
Daviess 31,591 R +12.9 R +32.4 D +19.5 100%
Madison 31,442 R +10.3 R +31.5 D +21.2 100%
Oldham 27,801 R +11.6 R +23.0 D +11.4 100%
Bullitt 26,735 R +35.6 R +51.7 D +16.1 100%
McCracken 21,472 R +21.5 R +35.4 D +13.9 100%
Scott 21,105 R +6.8 R +28.2 D +21.4 100%
Franklin 19,935 D +11.9 R +5.0 D +16.9 100%
Pulaski 19,680 R +52.3 R +65.9 D +13.6 100%
Jessamine 18,992 R +21.4 R +36.5 D +15.1 100%
Shelby 18,055 R +22.3 R +35.3 D +13.0 100%
Nelson 16,175 R +25.2 R +42.3 D +17.0 100%
Laurel 15,842 R +55.0 R +70.7 D +15.7 100%
Pike 14,398 R +42.6 R +66.0 D +23.4 100%
Christian 13,562 R +17.6 R +34.0 D +16.4 100%
Henderson 13,506 R +17.8 R +29.6 D +11.8 100%
Hopkins 13,431 R +33.8 R +51.5 D +17.7 100%
Clark 12,902 R +20.6 R +35.9 D +15.3 100%
Boyd 12,460 R +16.3 R +39.1 D +22.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+394 votes1,426,535R +12.3
+893 votes1,426,141R +12.3
+2,490 votes1,425,248R +12.3
+2,897 votes1,422,758R +12.3
+7,408 votes1,419,861R +12.2
+3,919 votes1,412,453R +12.1
+6,658 votes1,408,534R +12.0
+3,773 votes1,401,876R +11.8
+4,018 votes1,398,103R +11.7
+7,909 votes1,394,085R +11.6
+10,225 votes1,386,176R +11.4
+5,848 votes1,375,951R +11.2